Draft decides the pace of the game in most cases. You can tell which team wins by just seeing the heroes they picked and be right90% of the time
The graph includes all matches that are past that level as "that level" then splits them up so they add up into 100%.
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It can be seen on every hero's "Trends" page like here http://dotabuff.com/heroes/nyx-assassin/trends
From my experience (as mediocre player) I would expect maximum somewhere in te middle or whatever, not this.